Can the Scottish team at last end their New Zealand curse?
Autumn Nations Series: Scottish team versus All Blacks
Venue: Scottish Gas Murrayfield, the Scottish capital Date: Saturday, 8 November Kick-off: 15:10 GMT
Things were simpler then. Match number four of Scotland and New Zealand. A heaving Murrayfield, a 0-0 draw, winter of 1964. Euphoria at full-time. Fans flooding the field to reflect the home team's momentous achievement.
After defeating Ireland, Wales and England, New Zealand had finally been halted in a international match.
The man from Pathe News was nearly overcome with excitement. "An unforgettable sporting spectacle," he announced excitedly with considerable hope. "Where Scottish rugby preserved British pride."
Leaving the stadium that evening, home supporters would have had hope for the future. Multiple efforts to defeat the All Blacks and no wins, but clear signs that maybe one was not far off.
A few seasons after, the All Blacks defeated Scotland. Five years after that, history repeated itself. Three years further on, same story. Another five-year gap and, indeed, the pattern continued.
Modern Encounters
Twenty games since then later. Twenty consecutive New Zealand victories. Across New Zealand and beyond, from the Southern to Northern Hemisphere - the landscapes have changed but results remain consistent.
During his tenure, Gregor Townsend has ended losing runs in major European venues, but this is another level. This is 32 games across 120 years. One of sport's greatest hoodoos.
Team News
In recent years the comprehensive defeats have narrowed to closer margins in 2014, 2017 and 2022, but the All Blacks always find a way.
Through their brilliance, physical dominance, their chicanery, they get the job done.
We're now at the point of the week where positive expectations that some may have held for a Scottish win is probably beginning to fade. Optimism meets historical reality.
Key Absences
Recent updates revealed that Fagerson was unavailable. For Scotland's hopes it was like a kick in the guts.
Fagerson hasn't played since April, but he's exceptional and if available then his absence from play would not have been a massive concern.
In an era when most props are replaced long before the hour-mark, Fagerson's engine keeps running. No tighthead played nearly as many minutes in the European championship.
Squad Depth
They're without Huw Jones but his replacement is in excellent form with Northampton. Fagerson's replacement presents concerns. D'Arcy Rae is an admirable tighthead, his Test career consists of limited game time.
And when Rae is finished, there's Elliot Millar-Mills to come on. While competent, there's little to suggest that he can match New Zealand's standard.
Coaching Choices
Townsend has sprung surprises, some logical, some puzzling. Kyle Steyn's game-management intelligence replaces van der Merwe's physical approach.
The flanker selection is unconventional, with Darge among substitutes. Onyeama-Christie's omission is notable.
Past Encounters
Facing the Irish, the All Blacks secured the first leg of what they hope will be an undefeated tour. They started slowly, despite numerical advantage, but their final surge secured victory.
That and Ireland's defensive shape, offensive struggles, their line-out and their scrum collapsing.
Statistical Analysis
For all that their blasts at the end, the last 20 minutes is not where New Zealand typically dominates. In all of their Tests recently, they've accumulated scores in the first half and fewer after halftime.
They've scored 39 in the first quarter, 48 in the second, moderate third quarters and solid finishes. They start aggressively.
Required Performance
During their last meeting, New Zealand scored early in the opening seven minutes. Leading 14-0, victory seemed assured. Scotland fought back impressively to dominate temporarily.
The lesson here is that, figuratively speaking, Scotland needs sustained pressure from kickoff - and keep it there.
In recent years, the teams that have managed to beat New Zealand have needed to score in the upper twenties. Scottish scoring only twice in their past 13 games against New Zealand.
Final Analysis
Perfect execution is required for Scotland. Everything. Wasted opportunities then hopes fade. A yellow card? A high penalty count? Set-piece struggles? It's over.
With perfect execution? A blistering beginning. Vocal support. Bedlam. Clinical finishing. Finn Russell's magic. Graham being Graham.
Optimistic thinking, perhaps. Consistent performance has been elusive from the Scottish team that would be good enough to beat the All Blacks. If the capability exists, it's about time it came out; 120 years is enough of a wait.